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Philip Tetlock : ウィキペディア英語版
Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock (born 1954) is an Canadian-American political science writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences.
He has written several non-fiction books at the intersection of psychology, political science and organizational behavior, including ''Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction''; ''Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?''; ''Unmaking the West: What-if Scenarios that Rewrite World History''; and ''Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics.'' Tetlock is also co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a multi-year study of the feasibility of improving the accuracy of probability judgments of high-stakes, real-world events.
== Biography ==
Tetlock was born in 1954 in Toronto, Canada and completed his undergraduate work at the University of British Columbia and doctoral work at Yale University, obtaining his PhD in 1979.
He has served on the faculty of the University of California, Berkeley (1979-1995, assistant professor), the Ohio State University (the Burtt Endowed Chair in Psychology and Political Science, 1996-2001) and again at the University of California Berkeley (the Mitchell Endowed Chair at the Haas School of Business, 2002-2010). Since 2011, he has been the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania.
Tetlock has received awards from scientific societies and foundations, including the American Psychological Association, American Political Science Association, American Association for the Advancement of Science, International Society of Political Psychology, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the National Academy of Sciences and the MacArthur, Sage, Grawemeyer, and Carnegie Foundations.

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